About that Junk Folder

I use a pretty standard mail filtering setup – a fairly vanilla SpamAssassin setup on the front end, combined with naive bayesian content filters in my mail client. So I don’t reject any mail, it just ends up in one of my inboxes or a junk folder. And I have a mix of normal consumer mail – facebook, twitter, lots of commercial newsletters, mail from friends and colleagues and spam. (As well as that I have a lot of high traffic industry mailing lists, but overall it’s a fairly normal mix.)
My bayesian filter gets trained mostly by me hitting “this is spam” when spam makes it to my inbox. If I’m expecting an email “immediately” – something like a mailing list COI confirmation or email as part of buying something online – I’ll check my spam filter and move the mail to my inbox in the rare case it ended up there. Other than that I let it and spamassassin chug along with no tweaking.
I’m starting a data analysis project, based on my own inboxes, and as part of that I’m using some tools to look for false positives in my junk folders, and manually fixing anything that’s misclassified. I’ve been doing this for a couple of hours now, and I’ve found some interesting things.

  1. Simple content filters work remarkably well out of the box, at least for my mail stream. Spectacularly well. There’s very little in the way of false positives. Very, very little.
  2. Of those false positives there’s nothing I’d have been bothered about. It’s generic, unexciting junk mail.
  3. Most of the systemic false positives seem to be correlated with the senders doing something bad. Heathrow Express, for instance, sent me mail every two weeks or so since I’d signed up. Then for no obvious reason they stopped sending for three months, then started sending again. Every mail they sent after that pause ended up in the junk folder, and I never missed them.
  4. I get regular newsletters from ThinkGeek. Every one of those goes to the inbox. I occasionally get mails from them about my account (“you’ve got 420 geek points left”) that are kinda transactional, but not something I expect to see – and they all end up in the junk folder. Several other senders do the same thing, and get the same result.
  5. Several companies have used tagged addresses to send me newsletters for a while, and also used them to send unsolicited facebook invites (to the tagged address, from facebook servers). The regular newsletters all go to the inbox, while the facebook invites all go to the junk folder. “Legitimate” facebook mail, meanwhile, keeps going to the inbox.
  6. Apple send me a lot of newsletters – I’m a Mac and iPhone developer, I get their consumer newsletters, transactional stuff from our local store – lots and lots of newsletters. They all made it to the inbox except for one. The one that ended up in the junk folder was a one-off about recycling, and it wasn’t up to their usual design standards – it had ugly big green “call to action” headlines in it, very different to their usual clean design.
  7. Just one sender hit the junk folder every time. The distinctive thing about their messages (apart from them not being something I missed) was that the plain text part of them was dreadful, just a bad lynx dump of the html section. Even a “No plain text for you! Go to this link!” would have been better.

I was surprised at how effective this simple content-based filtering setup had worked with little tuning other than hitting the this-is-spam button – both in it’s accuracy at removing spam while keeping a very low false positive rate, but also how well the false positives matched my judgement of “Meh. This mail isn’t interesting.”.
We spend a lot of time talking about the things you should do to make the mail relevant to the recipient – compelling content, consistent, predictable delivery schedules, clear consistent branding, use of a single consistent mail stream to communicate with a recipient rather than several different streams. Until I went through this exercise it wasn’t clear to me how much of an effect those things also have on fairly simple recipient-trained filters.
 

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In my consulting, I emphasize that senders must set recipient expectations correctly. Receiver sites spend a lot of time listening to their users and design filters to let wanted and expected mail through. Senders that treat recipients as partners in their success usually have much better email delivery than those senders that treat recipients as targets or marks.
Over the years I’ve heard just about every excuse as to why a particular client can’t set expectations well. One of the most common is that no one does it. My experience this weekend at a PetSmart indicates otherwise.
As I was checking out I showed my loyalty card to the cashier. He ran it through the machine and then started talking about the program.
Cashier: Did you give us your email address when you signed up for the program?
Me: I’m not sure, probably not. I get a lot of email already.
Cashier: Well, if you do give us an email address associated with the card every purchase will trigger coupons sent to your email address. These aren’t random, they’re based on your purchase. So if you purchase cat stuff we won’t send you coupons for horse supplies.
I have to admit, I was impressed. PetSmart has email address processes that I recommend to clients on a regular basis. No, they’re not a client so I can’t directly take credit. But whoever runs their email program knows recipients are an important part of email delivery. They’re investing time and training into making sure their floor staff communicate what the email address will be used for, what the emails will offer and how often they’ll arrive.
It’s certainly possible PetSmart has the occasional email delivery problem despite this, but I expect they’re as close to 100% inbox delivery as anyone else out there.

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I think, though, that inbox is often just shorthand for “not landing in the bulk or spam folders.”
For some recipients, particularly those of us who get lots of mail, sometimes it’s better to land in a folder rather than the inbox. I have a folder set up, where most of my commercial mail goes. It’s labeled “commercial.” I check it once or twice a day.
This is beneficial to me and to the senders. Why? Because when I check that folder I’m ready to actually look at my commercial mail. I’m looking for those offers.
For someone like me, who does most of their work in their inbox, commercial interruptions are a problem. Commercial mail that ends up in my inbox, which can happen if I’ve been lazy about filters, interrupts me and usually doesn’t get read. But when it’s in my commercial folder? Well, then I can look at it, visit websites and make purchases.
So just remember, it’s not that you want mail in the inbox as much as you want mail somewhere that the recipient will notice it.

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